Karnataka Bank Ltd Analysis

Company Introduction

Founding Year: 1924

Headquarters Location: Mangaluru, India

Core Business Summary: Karnataka Bank Ltd is a private sector bank providing a range of banking and financial services to individuals, businesses, and institutions.

Overview

Karnataka Bank Ltd (KTKBANK)

Current Price
₹ 175
PE Ratio
5.67
EPS
31
Market Cap
₹ 6,586 Cr

Company Overview

Industry Sector: Banking and Financial Services

Financials

2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Revenue 6,475 6,232 6,222 7,220 8,299 9,014
YoY % -3.8% -0.2% +16.0% +14.9% +8.6%
EBITDA 64 74 74 86 72 85
YoY % +15.6% 0.0% +16.2% -16.3% +18.1%
Net Profit 432 482 508 1,180 1,307 1,273
YoY % +11.6% +5.4% +132.3% +10.8% -2.6%
EPS 13.89 15.52 16.33 37.77 34.64 33.68
YoY % +11.7% +5.2% +131.3% -8.3% -2.8%

Growth Drivers

Historical Growth Drivers: Expansion of branch network, introduction of new digital channels, and growth in retail lending

Future Growth Drivers: Adoption of digital technologies like AI and cloud, strategic partnerships, and increasing focus on rural and semi-urban markets

Examples: Launch of mobile banking app, introduction of digital loan products, and partnership with fintech companies

Market Position

Competitive Position: Mid-sized private sector bank

Estimated Market Share: 1.2% of Indian banking market

Technological Moat: Investment in digital transformation and adoption of new technologies

Strengths

  • Over 850 branches and 1,400 ATMs across India
  • 23% growth in retail lending in FY2022
  • Net NPA ratio reduced to 2.49% in FY2022
  • CAR of 12.34% in FY2022

Weaknesses

  • Exposure to cyclical industries like real estate and construction
  • Stringent regulatory requirements and potential changes in banking regulations
  • Intense competition from larger private sector banks and public sector banks
  • High concentration of branches and business in southern India

Valuations

Valuations for KTKBANK

Formula Bull Base Bear Margin of Safety
Ben Graham ₹ 551 ₹ 551 ₹ 203 68.3%
Peter Lynch ₹ 337 48.2%
PEG Ratio: 0.52

Rule of thumb (Lynch):
PEG ≈ 1 → Fairly valued
PEG < 1 → Undervalued (growth cheap relative to earnings)
PEG > 1.5 → Overvalued

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Outlook

Forward-looking Analysis: KTKBANK is expected to benefit from increasing demand for digital banking, growing retail lending, and improving asset quality. However, the bank needs to navigate regulatory challenges, intense competition, and geographic concentration risks.

Opportunities: Expansion into new markets, adoption of new technologies, and growth in fee-based income

Risks: Cyclical downturn, regulatory changes, and competition from larger banks

Horizon: 3-5 years

Stock Price Performance

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Price 77.49 128.23 103.73 122.82 42.15 65.05 57.50 129.05 237.70 179.20
YoY % +65.5% -19.1% +18.4% -65.7% +54.3% -11.6% +124.4% +84.2% -24.6%
* The price is shown as of 01 April each year.

Stock 3 Year Rolling CAGR

Metric 2022 2023 2024 2025 Average
Revenue -1.32% 5.03% 10.08% 7.68% 5.37%
EBITDA 4.96% 5.14% -0.91% -0.39% 2.20%
Net Profit 5.55% 34.78% 37.03% 2.56% 19.98%
EPS 5.54% 34.51% 28.49% -3.75% 16.20%
Price 10.91% 25.65% 60.49% 11.56% 27.15%

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